Don't know about you all, but in our house this week is just chock full of events, visiting with family, and getting organized for our upcoming time off over the holidays. Lots of scrambling going on around here and attempts to install some sense of gratitude in my boys. What am I grateful for this season? Many things but let's start with Bob. Bob has been my fantasy football rock, coming back week after week to post. Hats off to you, Bob, and thank you for your diligent work and research. So here he is with this year's final streaming defense post.
Well it’s the last week of the Fantasy Football Playoffs in
most leagues, and my last post of the season. I hope you all found these
posts useful. And if I failed you, you have to murder a lot more experts
before you get to me. I myself have had a terrible playoff season. I’m out of
all but one of my leagues due to the weird games the last two weeks. Between
weather that didn’t materialize to normally consistent players coming up bust
(yeah, I’m looking at you Brady and Bell), I’ve had the worst year in years. But
at least it wasn’t because of my defenses. The big trend that came out of this
season is the increase in streaming QBs. We may have to take a look at that
next season.
Week 15 was weird for a lot of skill positions and the Defs
had some surprises as well. The highly owned only averaged 8.7 points due in
large part to busts by MIN and PHI, who should be dropped at this point. The
streamers were hit and miss. Big hit for MIA, ATL and OAK, but misses on BAL,
NO, and NYJ. At least CLE didn’t let us down. In fact, the only target for the
streamers that didn’t produce was ARI.
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Week
15 Highly Owned
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||||
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Team
|
Opp
|
% Owned
|
Proj Pts
|
Actual
|
|
MIN
|
IND
|
98%
|
14
|
0
|
|
DEN
|
NE
|
98%
|
4
|
6
|
|
SEA
|
LAR
|
98%
|
12
|
14
|
|
NEP
|
@DEN
|
97%
|
13
|
17
|
|
KCC
|
TEN
|
94%
|
11
|
10
|
|
ARI
|
NO
|
93%
|
10
|
11
|
|
PHI
|
@BAL
|
72%
|
2
|
3
|
|
Avg
|
|
|
|
8.71
|
|
Streams
for Week 15
|
||||
|
BAL
|
PHI
|
62%
|
12
|
5
|
|
MIA
|
@NYJ
|
55%
|
10
|
21
|
|
ATL
|
SF
|
43%
|
9
|
10
|
|
OAK
|
@SD
|
45%
|
9
|
12
|
|
NO
|
@ARI
|
14%
|
8
|
5
|
|
NYJ
|
MIA
|
25%
|
8
|
5
|
|
BUF
|
CLE
|
62%
|
8
|
11
|
|
NYG
|
DET
|
29%
|
8
|
11
|
|
Avg
|
|
|
|
10.00
|
This week we see a diversification in highly owned teams, or
should I say a more even distribution of ownership. This shows me that more and
more people are streaming, as ownership changes quite a bit week to week. This
week we have only six teams owned in more than 80% leagues. And I don’t like two
of them to start. So we have a vast collection of 7 great streams this week,
with one warning.
|
Week
16 Highly Owned
|
||||
|
Team
|
Opp
|
% Owned
|
Proj Pts
|
Comment
|
|
SEA
|
ARI
|
98%
|
12
|
Another top target in ARI with SEA surging to the playoffs. Another
big day for SEA who has been your lucky charm through the playoffs.
|
|
MIN
|
@GB
|
96%
|
4
|
It's sad how many people have hung on to the Vikes hoping to
return to glory days. Zero points last week folks against the Colts!!! I've
bailed on the Vikes and you should too…
|
|
NEP
|
NYJ
|
96%
|
14
|
This one shouldn't even be fair. Top DEF against the Top Givers.
Best matchup this week. Win your league with the Patriots.
|
|
KCC
|
DEN
|
94%
|
12
|
DEN has averaged giving up 12 pts/game to top 10 DEFs. KC is 2nd
best DEF. I'll take those 12 points please.
|
|
DEN
|
@KC
|
94%
|
6
|
Except for the Jags in week 13, the Broncos' Def have been
pedestrian lately. Chiefs are 7th stingiest. Not a good matchup. If you
start, temper expectations.
|
|
ARI
|
@SEA
|
88%
|
8
|
Talk about a defensive matchup. ARI won't score as many as
SEA, but still worth a start.
|
|
Streams
for Week 16
|
||||
|
SDC
|
@CLE
|
32%
|
14
|
This is the matchup you waivered SD for in week 14, remember? Best
stream of the week.
|
|
NYG
|
@PHI
|
34%
|
12
|
Another surging DEF you have to start against an offense that
isn't sure of itself. 2nd best stream
|
|
DAL
|
DET
|
48%
|
11
|
DAL has also found its DEF lately avging over 13 pts/game over
last 3 games. Lions have been more generous lately. DAL at home will post a
great game. 3rd best stream.
|
|
GB
|
MIN
|
37%
|
8/12
|
This is my sneaky stream of the week. I don't know where to rank
them though. Vikings are imploding, and GB is surging. Somewhere between 2nd
and 4th best stream.
|
|
MIA
|
@BUF
|
57%
|
10/15
|
MIA is on a roll defensively, but BUF is a tough target. I still
like this one, especially if there's weather involved. 4th best stream. Good
upside with weather.
|
|
TBB
|
@NOS
|
12%
|
9
|
Only 12% owned??? The Bucs' Def is also surging eyeing the
playoffs. NOS will score but will give up points too. 5th best stream.
|
|
LAR
|
SF
|
54%
|
8/12
|
This is a tough one for me to recommend, but it's the Niners, so
you have to expect some giving. There could also be a post-Fischer
resurgence, so I say start 'em. 6th best stream with upside.
|
|
PHI
|
NYG
|
69%
|
4
|
Another DEF you have to let go, if you haven't already.
|
Good luck and don’t forget to tell me next week that my
streamers you started, single-handedly won your league for you.
Happy Holidays!
Bob Tierney
