Tuesday, December 20, 2016

Streaming Defenses - Week 16

Don't know about you all, but in our house this week is just chock full of events, visiting with family, and getting organized for our upcoming time off over the holidays. Lots of scrambling going on around here and attempts to install some sense of gratitude in my boys. What am I grateful for this season? Many things but let's start with Bob. Bob has been my fantasy football rock, coming back week after week to post. Hats off to you, Bob, and thank you for your diligent work and research. So here he is with this year's final streaming defense post. 

Well it’s the last week of the Fantasy Football Playoffs in most leagues, and my last post of the season. I hope you all found these posts useful. And if I failed you, you have to murder a lot more experts before you get to me. I myself have had a terrible playoff season. I’m out of all but one of my leagues due to the weird games the last two weeks. Between weather that didn’t materialize to normally consistent players coming up bust (yeah, I’m looking at you Brady and Bell), I’ve had the worst year in years. But at least it wasn’t because of my defenses. The big trend that came out of this season is the increase in streaming QBs. We may have to take a look at that next season.

Week 15 was weird for a lot of skill positions and the Defs had some surprises as well. The highly owned only averaged 8.7 points due in large part to busts by MIN and PHI, who should be dropped at this point. The streamers were hit and miss. Big hit for MIA, ATL and OAK, but misses on BAL, NO, and NYJ. At least CLE didn’t let us down. In fact, the only target for the streamers that didn’t produce was ARI.

Week 15 Highly Owned
Team
Opp
% Owned
Proj Pts
Actual
MIN
IND
98%
14
0
DEN
NE
98%
4
6
SEA
LAR
98%
12
14
NEP
@DEN
97%
13
17
KCC
TEN
94%
11
10
ARI
NO
93%
10
11
PHI
@BAL
72%
2
3
  Avg



8.71
Streams for Week 15
BAL
PHI
62%
12
5
MIA
@NYJ
55%
10
21
ATL
SF
43%
9
10
OAK
@SD
45%
9
12
NO
@ARI
14%
8
5
NYJ
MIA
25%
8
5
BUF
CLE
62%
8
11
NYG
DET
29%
8
11
  Avg



10.00

This week we see a diversification in highly owned teams, or should I say a more even distribution of ownership. This shows me that more and more people are streaming, as ownership changes quite a bit week to week. This week we have only six teams owned in more than 80% leagues. And I don’t like two of them to start. So we have a vast collection of 7 great streams this week, with one warning.

Week 16 Highly Owned
Team
Opp
% Owned
Proj Pts
Comment
SEA
ARI
98%
12
Another top target in ARI with SEA surging to the playoffs. Another big day for SEA who has been your lucky charm through the playoffs.
MIN
@GB
96%
4
It's sad how many people have hung on to the Vikes hoping to return to glory days. Zero points last week folks against the Colts!!! I've bailed on the Vikes and you should too…
NEP
NYJ
96%
14
This one shouldn't even be fair. Top DEF against the Top Givers. Best matchup this week. Win your league with the Patriots.
KCC
DEN
94%
12
DEN has averaged giving up 12 pts/game to top 10 DEFs. KC is 2nd best DEF. I'll take those 12 points please.
DEN
@KC
94%
6
Except for the Jags in week 13, the Broncos' Def have been pedestrian lately. Chiefs are 7th stingiest. Not a good matchup. If you start, temper expectations.
ARI
@SEA
88%
8
Talk about a defensive matchup. ARI won't score as many as SEA, but still worth a start.
Streams for Week 16
SDC
@CLE
32%
14
This is the matchup you waivered SD for in week 14, remember? Best stream of the week.
NYG
@PHI
34%
12
Another surging DEF you have to start against an offense that isn't sure of itself. 2nd best stream
DAL
DET
48%
11
DAL has also found its DEF lately avging over 13 pts/game over last 3 games. Lions have been more generous lately. DAL at home will post a great game. 3rd best stream.
GB
MIN
37%
8/12
This is my sneaky stream of the week. I don't know where to rank them though. Vikings are imploding, and GB is surging. Somewhere between 2nd and 4th best stream.
MIA
@BUF
57%
10/15
MIA is on a roll defensively, but BUF is a tough target. I still like this one, especially if there's weather involved. 4th best stream. Good upside with weather.
TBB
@NOS
12%
9
Only 12% owned??? The Bucs' Def is also surging eyeing the playoffs. NOS will score but will give up points too. 5th best stream.
LAR
SF
54%
8/12
This is a tough one for me to recommend, but it's the Niners, so you have to expect some giving. There could also be a post-Fischer resurgence, so I say start 'em. 6th best stream with upside.
PHI
NYG
69%
4
Another DEF you have to let go, if you haven't already.

Good luck and don’t forget to tell me next week that my streamers you started, single-handedly won your league for you. 

Happy Holidays!
Bob Tierney
 

5 comments:

Anonymous said...

Thanks for the timely post! I am in the finals with the help of MIA last week :-). I have waivers for GB, then NYG. Looks like you have them in an almost tie, so may stick with that order--GB at home vs. NYG on the road and on a potentially volatile TNF.

Happy Holidays!!

Rachel said...

Bob, I've been using your defense advice all season and am playing for first place this week in my family league with SDC as my defense, of course. :) Thanks for all your hard work! I appreciate it!

Sean McPhisto said...

Hats off to you all, and good luck in your victories...

MelR said...

Any thoughts on Tenn vs Jacksonville?

payal sharma said...

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