Holidays are in full swing at our house - we visited in family in Atlanta last week and saw the Christmas parade and went on a "sleigh ride" with the kids, and now it's time for Christmas tree trimming, present list making, and meltdowns from my little people. Sounds about right. Fortunately we have Bob's thoughts on streaming defenses below. And no promises, since clearly I can't seem to get my act together, but hopefully I'll be back with start/sit links later this week.
Well, it had to happen sooner or later, I just wish it
hadn’t been the week where leagues decide playoffs. The streamers did just
terrible and I couldn’t even blame it on the weather. The biggest factor was
that most of our favorite targets were playing highly owned teams and it
showed. Another factor that I missed was the desire of teams fighting for
playoff spots (TB, DET, BAL). We’ll remember that going forward.
And our
prognostications were off, not just on the viable streamers, but also the
outside streamers. In fact, the outside streamers (in red) did way better than
the recommended ones. Sheesh. I remember having a discussion with a couple of
readers that MIA was a better start than BAL. Boy, was I off on that one, and
apologize.
|
Week
13 Highly Owned
|
||||
|
Team
|
Opp
|
% Owned
|
Proj Pts
|
Actual
|
|
SEA
|
CAR
|
98%
|
11
|
11
|
|
DEN
|
@JAC
|
97%
|
13
|
18
|
|
MIN
|
DAL
|
96%
|
2
|
12
|
|
NEP
|
LAR
|
96%
|
14
|
16
|
|
KC
|
@ATL
|
94%
|
6
|
10
|
|
ARI
|
WAS
|
92%
|
6
|
10
|
|
PHI
|
@CIN
|
81%
|
4
|
4
|
|
Avg
|
|
|
|
11.57
|
|
Streams
for Week 13
|
||||
|
Team
|
Opp
|
% Owned
|
Proj Pts
|
Actual
|
|
MIA
|
@BAL
|
62%
|
10
|
4
|
|
WAS
|
@ARI
|
11%
|
10
|
3
|
|
SDC
|
TB
|
21%
|
10
|
5
|
|
NO
|
DET
|
22%
|
9
|
2
|
|
GB
|
HOU
|
28%
|
8
|
9
|
|
OAK
|
BUF
|
44%
|
6
|
11
|
|
DAL
|
@MIN
|
48%
|
2
|
9
|
|
NYG
|
@PIT
|
56%
|
4
|
9
|
|
Avg
|
|
|
|
5.67
|
But I won’t be thwarted, since this is the only week of the
entire season that was a train wreck for streamers. Hope you stocked up on some of the teams I suggested
stashing for the playoffs because they’re going to show up on the weeks going
forward. And this week, most of our targets are meeting some good streamers. We’ll
see how that shakes out. Here’s how I see Week 14 with an emphasis on the
playoff recommendations from last week.
|
Week
14 Highly Owned
|
||||
|
Team
|
Opp
|
% Owned
|
Proj Pts
|
Comments
|
|
DEN
|
@TEN
|
99%
|
8
|
Titans have learned how to protect their QB, on the road DEN
struggles, temper expectations.
|
|
SEA
|
@GB
|
98%
|
12/6
|
Weather dependent, if bad weather, high upside, if nice weather,
temper expectations.
|
|
NEP
|
BAL
|
97%
|
13
|
2nd best start of the week for the highly owned.
|
|
MIN
|
@JAC
|
95%
|
14
|
Best highly owned matchup of the week, against a great target. #1
highly owned start.
|
|
KCC
|
OAK
|
93%
|
12/6
|
Watch for weather on this one, if bad, then I like the matchup. But
if weather is fair, beware the stingy Raiders.
|
|
ARI
|
@MIA
|
91%
|
8
|
ARI Def has been so-so lately, and MIA is stingy, especially at
home. If you start, temper your expectation
|
|
PHI
|
WAS
|
82%
|
4
|
Eagles just aren't the Def team they were midseason, look
elsewhere.
|
|
Streams
for Week 14
|
||||
|
CIN
|
@CLE
|
33%
|
12
|
Bengals came awake last week and now they have the biggest
target with potential rain and snow mix. #1 stream this week.
|
|
DET
|
CHI
|
9%
|
9
|
Bears are in shambles, and DET Def has come alive, looking
toward the division. 2nd best stream of the week.
|
|
WAS
|
@PHI
|
12%
|
8
|
PHI has given up, but WAS has not, I love this stream this week.
3rd best stream. (recommended playoff pickup)
|
|
CAR
|
SDC
|
70%
|
8
|
CAR is surging and SD is now out of the playoffs. Watch for a
surge on DEF especially if Kuechly is out of protocol.
|
|
MIA
|
ARI
|
63%
|
8
|
Cards had their way with a soft Def last week but MIA at home
will present problems. 5th best stream (recommended playoff pickup)
|
|
TEN
|
DEN
|
11%
|
10/6
|
Depends on who the DEN QB is, good upside if Lynch, otherwise just
a so-so start. (recommended playoff pickup)
|
|
ATL
|
@LAR
|
16%
|
6
|
Rams are a great target but I don't know about the Falcons
defense. Many are touting this as a great start, but I would temper expectations.
|
Good luck on your first playoff game, and once again, sorry
I missed on a very important week.
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