Wednesday, January 23, 2013

2012 Accuracy Results!

I've been in mourning over the Broncos' loss a few weekends ago, so I'm finally coming out of my shell to let you all know that the 2012 FFLibrarian/FSTA Rankings Accuracy Challenge results are here! For those who are new to this contest, I've been running it for 6 years now and I compare experts' preseason rankings to how things shook out at the end of the season and use this analysis to determine which site is the most accurate of all. King of the fantasy football hill.

The results were presented at the FSTA Winter Conference last night and posted on the NYTimes' Fifth Down blog early this morning: Fantasy Football Accuracy Rankings for 2012. This link will give you the top 15 overall sites and then the top 10 at each position. This year I included the average ranking across the 4 positions to give you a sense of how closely the sites all line up for the most part. The top 2 sites though clearly had a bit of a lead on the rest of the field and on that note...

Congrats to both RealTime Fantasy Sports and FFMagicMan. Yup, two winning sites. Something unique happened this year: since I run this contest in conjunction with the FSTA, one of the rules is that the official winner must be a member of the FSTA, but I welcome submissions from any site that wants to throw their hat in the ring. FFMagicMan came away with the best accuracy scores (and scored in the top 10 in all 4 positions, something that I've never seen happen before), but is not an FSTA member. So instead the winner is RealTime Fantasy Sports, who also had an amazing performance by coming in the top 10 in 3 of 4 positions. As I've told both sites, this really is a spectacular job considering the hugely talented pool of 61 experts.

Last summer I finally created a multi-year analysis of these contests and I'll be adding these results in over the winter/spring. I'll post the results when they're available, but it will be well before the 2013 season begins.

There were 61 participants this year, listed below in alphabetical order:

Absolute QB
Advanced Sports Logic
Ask the Commish
Athlon Sports
Bruno Boys
CBSSports, Dave Richard
CBSSports, Jamey Eisenberg
CBSSports, Nathan Zegura
Cheatsheet War Room
Draft Analyzer
Fantasy Football Sherpa
Fantasy Insights
Fantasy Sharks
FF Guidebook
Football Outsiders
FOX Sports
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
Joseph Sigal
Junkyard Jake
LeagueSafe Post
Lesters Legends
NFL Soup - Keet Bailey
NFL Soup - Kevin Roberts
Pigskin Addiction
RealTime Fantasy Sports
Roger Rotter Sports
Sandlot Shrink
The Fake Football
The Hazean
The Huddle
The War Room

Wednesday, January 02, 2013

Join FFLibrarian's 2013 Playoff Challenge

Greetings and happy 2013. We've had a lot of travel and holiday fun in our home with a hearty dose of great fantasy football season endings. My sister, a fantasy football newbie, made it to her league's championship game but did lose by a mere 4 points; not too shabby for someone brand new to FF though, eh? Also a huge thanks to the Fantasy Football Nerd for running his annual league which donates $500 to the league winner's charity of choice. I ended up winning the league so Joe at FFN made an extremely generous donation to the Healing Hearts Fund here at a local hospital in Knoxville, which provides support for families who are coping with the loss of a baby. For those interested, my team dominated the season thanks to a combo of Doug Martin, Jamaal Charles, Julio Jones, and the Bears DST, among other gems.

In other good news, I spent a chunk of yesterday watching and celebrating as my Northwestern Wildcats finally won their first bowl game sine 1949. Go Cats! Go Big Ten!

But moving on to the NFL playoffs. If you've been around for awhile you know that I'm a huge Broncos fan so I'm feeling pretty great about the playoffs this year. I'll also be running my FFLibrarian Playoff Challenge through again this year. I'd love to have you join in and I'll be thinking of a prize to send to the winner of the challenge - no password needed, just click this link and you should be good to go. If you have any trouble joining, just let me know.

In case you need some links to help you prep for your playoff league, read on - trust me, there's a lot of quality material here: