Tuesday, December 16, 2014

Waiver Wire Advice: Week 16

And here's your second post of the night: Mike's waiver wire suggestions for this fantasy super bowl week. If any of you are playing in Week 17 and are interested in getting more links for lineup help next week, leave a comment so that I can pull something together for you!


Here we are in the final week (for most people) of fantasy football for 2014. We’ve been through four months of draft research, hand-wringing over starting lineup decisions, waiver wire analysis, frustration and elation. Hopefully you’ve enjoyed the process, because we all do this for fun, right? 

I hope that you don’t have to go to the waiver wire this week for a starter in your finals, because the wire isn’t pretty this week, but let’s take a closer look at a couple developing situations.

DeMarco Murray has led many a fantasy team to the finals this season. It was revealed yesterday that he had surgery for a broken hand. Early reports indicate Murray will play through the injury, but if you have Murray (or even if you don’t), it’s vital that you try to get Joseph Randle and Lance Dunbar on your roster. There is no next week, so drop any player that you won’t be using this week, get Randle and Dunbar on your team, and monitor the situation this week. I’d expect Randle to have the primary role if Murray is out, but Dunbar’s role should be fairly significant even if Murray plays, as Murray’s ability to catch will likely be hampered.

If you’re desperate at QB, you could do worse than Robert Griffin III versus Philadelphia this week. The Eagles will surely be piling up points quickly against the putrid Redskins defense, so it will be on RGIII to try and keep pace. He looked a bit more spry in his appearance last week, and the Eagles have a very suspect pass defense. Hopefully you have safer options, but RGIII is a high-upside desperation play. Oh and if Mark Sanchez is available in your league, I’d consider playing him over all but the top-tier QBs.

This will be my last waiver article of the season. Thanks to everyone who everyone who took the time to read, and hopefully it helped you out at some point during the season. Best of luck to everyone in the finals.

On to the links…..
NikBonaddio from Numberfire notes that Frank Gore may be out this week, and recommends taking a look at Carlos Hyde.
Brad Evans of Yahoo likes RGIII’s chances of putting up big numbers this week.
Adam Levitan from Rotoworld likes Harry Douglas and Malcom Floyd as WR additions
Christopher Harris from ESPN suggests adding Joseph Randle and Carlos Hyde, and has some speculative finds for those playing in Week 17.
Find me on Twitter for any questions or feedback!

Streaming Defenses: Week 16

It's a special Tuesday, I've got two posts for you tonight. First up, Bob's take on defenses that you might want to roll with this week. 


Well it’s championship week, and if you’re reading this you’ve made it to the pinnacle, and I hope I’ve helped in some small way. At this point of the season you are probably locked into one of the top defenses and will ride them to the final outcome. But there may be some unlikely teams in the finals due to the disastrous week 15 for QBs. So some of you may not have the best matchup. First let’s look at week 14 stats:
Week 15



Top Performers

Team
Projected
Actual

Ravens*
23
Ravens
14
23

Bengals
19
Giants
14
11

Bills
18
Packers
12
10

Patriots
18
Vikings
12
6

Chiefs
18
      Average
13
12.5



      AVG

10.8



      % 0wned

13



      Rec % owned

12.4



      Bad % Owned

15




The Ravens killed it and the Giants and Packers held their own. The Vikings were a disappointment however and the streamers only averaged 12.5 points. Normally a good week, since the overall average was only 10.8. But the highly owned teams kicked it in and averaged 13 points in a week that saw a lot of QBs stagger. The Bills and 49ers surprised as not recommended starts. But overall, the highly owned did well.   So what’s in store for this week?

Player
Pts
Avg
% Owned
Opp
Comment
Seahawks
156
11.1
97%
@ARI
6th best start, Cards are stingy, but SEA is peaking
Cardinals
174
12.4
90%
SEA
Start but temper expectations
Lions
169
12.1
89%
@CHI
4th best start, CHI is down and out, may even see new QB
Eagles
195
13.9
88%
@WAS
1st best start, WAS is a DEF giving machine right now
Patriots
163
11.6
85%
@NYJ
3rd best start, it's the Jets
Texans
172
12.3
84%
BAL
Start but temper expectations
Rams
160
11.4
82%
NYG
5th best start, Rams can still bring it
Ravens
158
11.3
82%
@HOU
7th best start, Ravens are on a roll, and now a new QB
Bills
196
14
81%
@OAK
2nd best start, OAK is still a good DEF target
49ers
150
10.7
81%
SD
I don't like this matchup, the Niners may have given up.
Chiefs
131
9.4
74%
@PIT
I don't like this matchup, avoid if possible






Packers
156
11.1
59%
@TB
1st best stream, the Pack are seeing red this week and will take it out on TB
Giants
126
9
41%
@STL
2nd best stream, Giants D can disrupt the Rams
Titans
108
7.7
23%
@JAC
3rd best stream, unlikely start but big upside against the most generous DEF pts giver

The highly owned teams look to do well again this week, but I don’t like the 49ers or Chiefs.

First best stream is one I recommended last week, and the Packers have an even juicier matchup this week.  Look for the Pack to rebound and do it on DEF. Expect 14 points with upside.

Second, once again, the Giants have a good matchup against a generous Rams team. In fact, both could do well, but the Giants will do better. Expect 12 points.

And for my final recommendation of the year, the Titans. The Titans??? Yep, they have nothing to play for except respect, and they have the ‘first round pick in the draft’ Jags. Don’t expect the Jags to give up that pick. They go out with a whimper and yield a ton of points to the Titans, to the tune of 12 points with upside.  

This will do it for my articles to the FFLibrarian for this season. Watch for more new exciting articles in the months to come from the FFLibrarian. We’re already strategizing new ways to help our readers even in the off season. 

And a fond thank you to Sara and the gang of 4 contributors this year, it’s been a real pleasure to work with you all and look forward to next year…