Wednesday, January 23, 2013

2012 Accuracy Results!

I've been in mourning over the Broncos' loss a few weekends ago, so I'm finally coming out of my shell to let you all know that the 2012 FFLibrarian/FSTA Rankings Accuracy Challenge results are here! For those who are new to this contest, I've been running it for 6 years now and I compare experts' preseason rankings to how things shook out at the end of the season and use this analysis to determine which site is the most accurate of all. King of the fantasy football hill.

The results were presented at the FSTA Winter Conference last night and posted on the NYTimes' Fifth Down blog early this morning: Fantasy Football Accuracy Rankings for 2012. This link will give you the top 15 overall sites and then the top 10 at each position. This year I included the average ranking across the 4 positions to give you a sense of how closely the sites all line up for the most part. The top 2 sites though clearly had a bit of a lead on the rest of the field and on that note...

Congrats to both RealTime Fantasy Sports and FFMagicMan. Yup, two winning sites. Something unique happened this year: since I run this contest in conjunction with the FSTA, one of the rules is that the official winner must be a member of the FSTA, but I welcome submissions from any site that wants to throw their hat in the ring. FFMagicMan came away with the best accuracy scores (and scored in the top 10 in all 4 positions, something that I've never seen happen before), but is not an FSTA member. So instead the winner is RealTime Fantasy Sports, who also had an amazing performance by coming in the top 10 in 3 of 4 positions. As I've told both sites, this really is a spectacular job considering the hugely talented pool of 61 experts.

Last summer I finally created a multi-year analysis of these contests and I'll be adding these results in over the winter/spring. I'll post the results when they're available, but it will be well before the 2013 season begins.

There were 61 participants this year, listed below in alphabetical order:

4for4
Absolute QB
Advanced Sports Logic
Ask the Commish
Athlon Sports
Bruno Boys
CBSSports, Dave Richard
CBSSports, Jamey Eisenberg
CBSSports, Nathan Zegura
Cheatsheet War Room
Draft Analyzer
DraftCalc
DraftSharks
Drinkfive.com
edraft
ESPN
Fantasy Football Sherpa
Fantasy Insights
Fantasy Sharks
FantasyFootballManiax
FantasyFootballNerd
FantasyFootballStarters
FantasyPros.com
FantasyPros911
Fantazzle
Fantistics
FF Guidebook
FFMagicMan
FFToday.com
Fleaflicker
Football Outsiders
Footballguys
FOX Sports
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
Joseph Sigal
Junkyard Jake
KFFL
LeagueSafe
LeagueSafe Post
Lesters Legends
NFL Soup - Keet Bailey
NFL Soup - Kevin Roberts
Pigskin Addiction
ProFootballFocus
ProFootballWeekly
Pyromaniac.com
RealTime Fantasy Sports
Roger Rotter Sports
RotoExperts
Rotoprofessor
Rotoworld
Sandlot Shrink
scoutPRO
SI
The Fake Football
The Hazean
The Huddle
The War Room
WhatIfSports
XML
Yahoo  

8 comments:

Micah James said...

Thanks, Sara, for allowing me to be a part of the challenge! I was honored to have been mentioned in your post, and in the wrap-up on the Times' Fifth Down blog. All the best and I look forward to participating again next season! - Micah James, @FFMagicMan

Dom V said...

Wow, this list is great! I wish I had known about this much longer ago, I definitely will be bookmarking the overall ranks to know the most consistent places to look from now on. - Dom V

David Biggs said...

Thanks for putting all of this together, Sara. We look forward to participating again this coming year and (like everyone else that visits this site) we can't wait for the season to begin again! :)

Hostpph.com said...

Well It sounds like a great contest and I bet that there are lot of results that they come near to the real life.

N DeMarco said...

Hey Football Fans!!!

This is the Lakewood BlueClaws here informing you guys that on August 31st we are having a football night at our stadium and the team that has the most fans come out will win a prize. Also, use one of our many picnic areas to host your next fantasy football draft or upgrade your experience with a skybox rental. So come on football fans, join us on August 31st and show your team spirit.

For tickets or any questions please contact ndemarco@blueclaws.com

N DeMarco said...

Hey Football Fans!!

This is the Lakewood BlueClaws here informing you guys that on August 31st we are having a football night at our stadium and the team that has the most fans come out will win a prize. Also, use one of our many picnic areas to host your next fantasy football draft or upgrade your experience with a skybox rental. So come on football fans, join us on August 31st and show your team spirit.

For tickets or any questions please contact ndemarco@blueclaws.com

Anonymous said...

Sara,

Don't know if you've realised but the Google Doc is down! For those of us coming a bit late to this post, would be great for you to have a look into it!

Cheers!

Anonymous said...

Thanks for all your great work. I'm curious when your multi-year analysis will come out. Will it cover only pre-season rankings, or projections as well?

Thanks again.