Friday, January 17, 2014

2013 Fantasy Football Accuracy Results Are In!

Greetings and welcome to the 2013 results of the fantasy football accuracy contest that I run each year in conjunction with the Fantasy Sports Trade Association (FSTA). This is my 7th year of the rankings contest and I am thrilled to once again report back on which sites' preseason rankings have proven most accurate. There were 59 participants in this year's contest and on Thursday night, the top sites were revealed at the FSTA's Winter Conference in Las Vegas.

Participants were asked to submit their top 25 QBs, 50 RBs, 50 WRs, and 20 TEs using a standard scoring system as listed below:


Passing Yards (25 yards per point)
Passing Touchdowns (4)
Rushing Yards (10 yards per point)
Reception Yards (10 yards per point)
Rushing & Receiving Touchdowns (6)
Interceptions & Fumbles Lost (-2)

At the end of the regular NFL season, I gathered fantasy point totals from FFToday.com's Statistics Page for all players that scored any fantasy points and created an end-of-season ranking based on these actual results. I compared the end-of-season rankings with the rankings that each site submitted for the contest by merely taking the difference between the rankings, and then also squaring that difference to reward closer accuracy (or punish larger discrepancies, however you want to look at it). The site with the smallest difference between their rankings and the end-of-season rankings averaged across all four positions was the winner.

So without further ado, the winner this year was Mike Clay from ProFootballFocus.com. If Clay's name is familiar to you, well, it should be. His analysis and articles have been all over the best of the fantasy football universe this year and I dare say it's for good reason. But I'm also happy to report that last year's unofficial winner, Micah James of FF Magic Man, came in a very close second place this year. I can guarantee you that I'll be reading the FF Magic Man's rankings quite closely next year. Read on for the rest of the top results from 2013.

Most Accurate Rankings Across All Positions:
Ranking       Site                                                AverageRank          
1 ProFootballFocus.com 12.25
2 FF Magic Man 12.5
3 LeagueSafe Post Super 16.75
4 FantasyCouncil.com 17.75
5 Game Day Lineup 18.5
6 FantasySharks.com 19
7 4for4.com 19.25
8 RotoExperts 20.75
9 FF Guidebook 22
10 Scott Pianowski, Yahoo 22.25
10 FFCalculator (ADP) 22.25
12 Dynasty League Football 22.75
13 Dalton Del Don, Yahoo 23.75
14 Fantasy Football Maniax 24.25
15 The Hazean 24.5


Most Accurate Quarterback Rankings:

Ranking                           Site                                          
1 Scott Pianowski, Yahoo
2 Pyromaniac.com
3 Draft Analyzer Ultimate
4 DobberFootball.com
5 Steve's Fantasy Advice
6 RotoExperts
7 LeagueSafe Post Super
8 Paul Charchian, LeagueSafe
9 4for4.com
10 Fantasy Football Maniax

Most Accurate Running Back Rankings:

Rankings                        Site                                 
1 Dynasty League Football 
2 FantasyCouncil.com
3 ProFootballFocus.com
4 Game Day Lineup
5 DraftSharks
6 Pyromaniac.com
7 William del Pilar
8 FantasyFootballNerd.com
9 4for4.com
10 Mastersball.com

Most Accurate Wide Receiver Rankings:

Rankings                        Site                                                  
1 FF Magic Man
2 ProFootballFocus.com
3 Pigskin Addiction
4 The Huddle
5 Nathan Zegura, CBSSports.com
6 Mike Nease, FantasyInsights.com
7 Dish Adams, FantasyInsights.com
8 FantasyFootballMagic.com
9 FantasyCouncil.com
10 FFCalculator (ADP)

Most Accurate Tight Ends Rankings:

Rankings                        Site                                                         
1 Ask The Commish
2 FantasyTools.com
3 FantasySharks.com
4 ProFootballFocus.com
5 WhatIfSports.com
6 FantasyPros911
7 FOX Sports
8 Pigskin Addiction
9 The Sports Forecaster (XML Team)
10 Fantasy Typhoon

All of the 59 participants are listed below in alphabetical order:


4for4.com
Andy Behrens, Yahoo
Ask the Commish
Bloomberg Sports
Brad Evans, Yahoo 
Brad Funston, Yahoo
Bruno Boys
Cheat Sheet War Room
Dalton Del Don, Yahoo
Dave Richard, CBSSports.com
Dish Adams, Fantasy Insights
DobberFootball.com
Draft Analyzer Ultimate
DraftSharks
Dynasty League Football
ESPN
Fantasy Football Sherpa
Fantasy Omatic
Fantasy Typhoon
FantasyCouncil.com
FantasyFootballMagic.com
FantasyFootballManiax
FantasyFootbalNerd.com
FantasyProAnalyst
FantasyPros911
FantasySharks.com
FantasyTools.com
FF Guidebook
FF Magic Man
FFCalculator (ADP)
FFEngineer
FFStarters.com
FOX Sports
Game Day Lineup
Jamey Eisenberg, CBSSports.com
KFFL
LeagueSafe Post Super
Mastersball.com
Mike Nease, Fantasy Insights
Nathan Zegura, CBSSports.com
NFL.com
Paul Charchian, LeagueSafe
PickingPros.com
Pigskin Addiction
ProFootballFocus.com
Pyromaniac.com
RealTime Fantasy Sports
RotoExperts
Rotoprofessor
Rotoworld
Scott Pianowski, Yahoo
scoutPRO
Steve's Fantasy Advice
The Hazean
The Huddle
The Sports Forecaster (XML Team)
WhatifSports
William Del Pilar
Yahoo composite

If you have any questions, let me know. Or if you submitted rankings and are curious as to how you ranked, just shoot me an e-mail.

(Note: many of you are used to seeing these results up on the NY Times' Fifth Down blog, but the Fifth Down is no more, as many of you may have already surmised!)

Thursday, December 12, 2013

Week 15 playoff prep

Here's hoping your playoffs prep is going well but if you need a little boost, I'm here for you friends. Read on for some solid advice on start/sits and rankings for the week. 

Wednesday, November 27, 2013

Week 13 goodness

It snowed here in Knoxville overnight - it wasn't much, but it was thick enough on our back porch to allow our 3-year-old son to build a mini snowman, which pretty much made his day. He also took clearing the snow off of our car very seriously, reveled in his ability to make and throw snowballs, and was just very happy with these rare snow activities. So here's to the little things that fill us with happiness. Safe travels to those on the road this week and may you have a wonderful Thanksgiving and bountiful points in fantasy football this week! 

Thursday, November 21, 2013

Week 12 start/sit, sleepers, rankings

I've got a napping baby on my hands giving me a chance to toss up a few links for your Week 12 lineups. Good luck this week - it'll be a big one in my family with my Broncos facing off against my sister's Patriots!

Tuesday, November 19, 2013

Week 12 waiver wire links

Sorry for the hiatus, life has been busy and I've been trying to squeeze in a few hours of work each week, bumping fantasy football a bit. But here we are at Week 12 so let's proceed to this week's waiver wire advice:

Hope to be back later this week with some start/sit advice!

Monday, November 04, 2013

Prep for Week 10 begins!

I hope everyone enjoyed a festive Halloween and is settling into the month of November. We had our kiddos dressed up as a gorilla and a banana, and after a few houses of trick-or-treating, our gorilla boy quickly caught on to the awesomeness of receiving candy with such ease. He even seems to inherently know that the mini boxes of raisins just won't cut it when it comes time to select a treat from his candy bowl.

Now it's time to start thinking about Thanksgiving and, of course, fantasy football playoffs. I was thankful to be part of Tom Brady's return to Bradyness, but less thankful to see my opponent raking in the Andre Johnson points. I will say though that big points from both seemed to be a long time coming.

Here are a few links to whet your waiver wire appetite and get you squared away with Week 9 news:

Tuesday, October 29, 2013

Week 9 waiver wire + rankings advice

I've got your Week 9 links up and ready for you to read. Fingers crossed I make it back in time to get you a bunch of start/sit recommendations for the week. Good luck in Week 9!

Thursday, October 17, 2013

Week 7 lineup links

Welcome to Week 7 and your installment of start/sit and rankings links. I've got a sleeping 2-week-old baby (woohoo! sleep!) and thought I'd crank out a few links to help you get your lineups set for the week.

Friday, October 11, 2013

Week 6 start/sit and rankings

Greetings all. I've got a handful of start/sit links and rankings or projections for you to help prep your fantasy team for Week 6. Read on!


Thursday, October 10, 2013

Checking in

Apologies for the extensive time off in the middle of the season - and this post won't appease very many of you, but I just wanted to let you all know that our son was born last week and I'm taking a bit of time to get settled into our new routine before updating and posting here a whole lot. I'm hoping to get a post up with this weekend's start/sit advice but certainly will have links for you for Week 7.

In the meantime, two good spots to swing by for articles are:

Thanks to those of you who have checked in to see how we're doing - life with a newborn is much more manageable the second time around but it is certainly still an adjustment. We're all doing really well though and I'll be back posting again soon!

Tuesday, October 01, 2013

Boost your Week 5 lineup

I've got a slim window here before this baby arrives and I want to squeeze in a few more links for you guys. Here's to Week 5!

Thursday, September 26, 2013

Quick links for Week 4

Things are a little nuts around here with our baby coming soon, trying to get things wrapped up with my job before starting maternity leave, and then last minute news of a family member needing surgery today, so pardon the hastiness of the links below. Let me know if you see anything mis-linked and I'll get it fixed right away.

Tuesday, September 24, 2013

Waivering our way through the first bye week

Greetings again FF lovers - I've got more waiver wire advice and beyond for you all today, so let's jump right in:

Monday, September 23, 2013

Early Week 4 advice

I remember a day (pre-child) when I used to be able to watch football all Sunday long. It was glorious. But these I'm spending that precious football time convincing a kid that a nap sounds desirable (and oh man, does it ever) and then heading out to fall festivals, birthday parties, puddle jumping, etc. I wouldn't have it any other way (sacrilegious to my old, carefree self I'm sure) but I will readily admit that I am loving a MNF Broncos game so that I can actually watch a good chunk of the game. If only the Broncos played at night every week...

Just a reminder that my due date for kiddo #2 is quickly approaching - next weekend! - and when that little dude arrives, this blog will probably go very, very quiet for several days. I always recommend taking a look at the awesome sites under Fantasy Football Content over on the right side for some of my favorite sites.

Moving on to today's recaps and waiver advice:

  •  I know how you all love your rest-of-season advice, so good news. Roto Arcade's Shuffle Up & Deal is back for the season. Scope out rankings for the remainder of the 2013 season for QBs and WRs.

Thursday, September 19, 2013

Bajillion Week 3 link options

I've got a ton of links for you all tonight - should pretty much keep you reading straight through till the weekend. Hope you're enjoying the Thursday Night game and the Donnie Avery-fest and Eagles turnover-fest that we've seen in the first half so far.