Wednesday, November 16, 2016

Streaming Defenses: Week 11

Bob is out of town and yet again making things happen on the streamer suggestion front. I'm the slacker here who couldn't quite get the post up last night; apologies to anyone waiting with bated breath. I'm working on an general waiver wire post for you, too, which I hope to get up in a few hours. So here you are, without further ado: streaming ds from Bob.


Welcome back fellow streamers. It was another decent week for the streams last week, as the highly owned only averaged 9 points compared to the streamers averaging just a little less. To be sure there were disappointments in SD and DAL, but don’t despair, same could be said of MIN and NE. So carry it forward this week.
Week 10 Highly Owned
Team
OPP
%Owned
Proj Pts
Actual
DEN
@NOS
100%
10
12
SEA
@NE
99%
6
9
MIN
@WAS
98%
9
4
KC
@CAR
97%
13
16
PHI
ATL
93%
10
8
CAR
KC
91%
8
10
ARI
SF
87%
16
10
NE
SEA
71%
8
3
  AVG



9
Streams for Week 10
SD
MIA
39%
12
5
BAL
CLE
41%
12
21
LAR
@NYJ
65%
12
10
DAL
@PIT
57%
10
1
CHI
@TB
2%
8/12
7
WAS
MIN
10%
8
9
ATL
@PHI
46%
8
6
  AVG



8.43

This week we have a good week for the highly owned in spite of a couple of big Defs on bye (DEN and SD). But we have some newcomers to the stream recommendations, and I really like a couple of them. The Raiders are starting to hit a stride to the playoffs and the Def is coming along. DAL stumbled last week but I like them even more this week. And who would have thought I would be streaming NO? But I like the matchup, even though no other site has mentioned them. 

Also watch two defensive battles this week, with ARI vs MIN and LAR vs MIA. I don’t expect a lot of points from either Offense, but I see opportunity on Defense for all four. Finally, a warning to those that pick simply by target, beware PIT’s defense, it isn’t good. 

With that here’s how I see it this week.
Week 11 Highly Owned
Team
OPP
%Owned
Proj Pts
Comments
MIN
ARI
97%
12
MIN has only averaged 5 pts/game over last three games, but ARI is a good target and getting better. 3rd best start of the highly owned.
ARI
@MIN
97%
12
Vikings can't run and ARI has a good secondary and even better pass rush. Watch this defensive battle with the Cards in your pocket.
SEA
PHI
96%
10
SEA still has some Def capability no matter who the opponent, and the Eagles can be had against good defenses. A good start for SEA.
KCC
TB
95%
14
Chiefs have quietly averaged 14 pts/game over the last 5 games. Bucs are the 12th most generous to Defs. Yes, I'll have some of what the Chiefs are serving this week.
CAR
NO
85%
10
Saints have given up about 12 pts/game against good defenses and CAR has averaged 14 pts/game the last three. I like CAR to start playing like they're capable, especially if Kuechly is back.
PHI
@SEA
84%
8
Eagles DEF has faltered in last three games, only averaging 6 pts/game, and SEA is the 4th stingiest. Not a good start even with the Eagles at home. If you start them, temper expectations.
NE
@SF
84%
10
Pats have been stumbling on Def lately. But SF is still a great target even on the road. Watch NE make a comeback on defense after faltering against SEA.
LAR
MIA
83%
8
Rams only managed 10 pts against the most generous team in the league, the Jets. This week won't be as easy, but it's a decent start if you have them, but temper expectations.
Streams for Week 11
DAL
BAL
48%
12
This is a sneaky start. BAL hasn't played a top ten Def since week 1. And the 'Boys were doing great before last week. But I like DAL at home as the 1st best stream.
OAK
HOU
32%
11
OAK's Def is trying to look playoff worthy like their Off, and HOU is a 13th most generous to Defs. I like the Raiders, yes I said the Raiders as the 2nd best stream.
NYG
CHI
14%
11
The Giants have a pretty good one/two punch at DE and have been doing it lately. With Jeffery out, who is Cutler going to throw to? I like the Giants as the 3rd best stream and only 5% owned.
MIA
@LAR
20%
10
It gets a little tougher picking streams after the first three, but MIA can wreak havoc on a generous OFF and there aren't many as good as LAR in giving up DEF points. LAR is 2nd most generous. Start as you 4th best stream.
NO
@CAR
3%
8
CAR is now the 3rd most generous team to DEFs. Even though NO ranks 26th, they have scored double digits in their last 2 games. They're worth a shot at home for the 5th best stream.
PIT
@CLE
34%
2
Even with CLE as a good target, I'm not sold on the PIT Def, avoid this recommendation.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

With both RG and RT out for Chicago, does New York move up even more? If so, how far? My debate was Miami or the Giants and I was going Miami. Maybe these injuries make enough of a difference to change that?

Thanks for the good work.