Hope you had a wonderful holiday weekend spent with family and friends. I know we're all still recovering a bit in the FFLibrarian household from a non-stop weekend. Bob is back with a post on defenses to pick up for Week 14. Enjoy!
Well the regular season is nearly done, and some of you may
have to make do with the players you have now. But a lot of leagues allow waivers during the playoffs, and turn off
trades. So in the spirit, here are some
plays for this week.
What a Week 13 we had. The stream worked very well, particularly if you picked up the Rams at
the last second. Sheesh, 31 points? Nope, I didn’t see that many but it was
Oak. And did anybody see the
Jaguars? Nope, only owned by 0.5% of
teams. Here’s the wrap up.
Week 13
|
Top Performers
|
||||
Team
|
Projected
|
Actual
|
Rams*
|
31
|
|
Dolphins
|
14
|
TBD
|
Jaguars
|
26
|
|
Giants
|
12
|
12
|
Seahawks
|
19
|
|
Rams
|
12
|
31
|
Bills
|
19
|
|
Average
|
12.67
|
21.5
|
Broncos
|
19
|
|
AVG all teams
|
10.7
|
||||
% Highly
0wned
|
11.8
|
||||
Rec % owned
|
13.8
|
||||
Bad % Owned
|
4
|
The average of all DEFs for the entire year is now
9.75. Week 13 average for all teams was
10.7, so a big week for defenses. The
highly owned averaged only slightly better at 11.8, largely because of poor
performances by the Chiefs, Patriots, and Packers, the same teams that were
marked as sits for the week. The highly
owned and recommended averaged 13.8 points, but the streamers outdid that
average with 21.5, so far!!! So again,
if I tell ya to sit one of the highly owned teams, take my advice and look to
the streamers. This week there are a lot of matchups between highly owned
and targeted teams, so fewer opportunities. Let’s have a look.
Player
|
Pts
|
Avg
|
% Owned
|
Opp
|
Comment
|
Seahawks
|
125
|
10.4
|
95%
|
@PHI
|
4th best start, could really disrupt PHI
|
Cardinals
|
148
|
12.3
|
90%
|
KC
|
Start, but temper expectations, KC doesn't
give up DEF pts easily
|
Eagles
|
181
|
15.1
|
87%
|
SEA
|
Start, temper expectations, but may be
some upside
|
Texans
|
143
|
11.9
|
87%
|
@JAC
|
1st best start, geez this could get ugly, lots
of points
|
49ers
|
133
|
11.1
|
87%
|
@OAK
|
3rd best start, another ugly matchup, lots of
points
|
Bills
|
168
|
14
|
86%
|
@DEN
|
Bad matchup, don't start the Bills
|
Dolphins
|
138
|
12.5
|
82%
|
BAL
|
Start, temper expectations, but I would
start the Dolphins at home
|
Lions
|
139
|
11.6
|
81%
|
TB
|
2nd best start, another lopsided matchup, lots
of points
|
Patriots
|
132
|
11
|
80%
|
@SD
|
Start, but temper expectations, SD can put
some points up
|
Colts
|
127
|
10.6
|
69%
|
@CLE
|
Bad matchup, CLE is stingy giving up DEF pts
|
Rams
|
127
|
10.6
|
69%
|
@WAS
|
5th best start, Rams are hot now
|
Vikings
|
130
|
10.8
|
25%
|
NYJ
|
1st best stream, after what they did to CAR,
should be a cakewalk against NYJ
|
Giants
|
87
|
7.2
|
40%
|
@TEN
|
2nd best stream, TEN is without a QB now, and
the Giants should see red
|
Cowboys
|
99
|
8.2
|
20%
|
@CHI
|
3rd best stream, the Boys wake up this week
against a generous CHI
|
Chiefs
|
108
|
9
|
62%
|
@ARI
|
4th best stream, KC is good enough to
dismantle the ARI off
|
There are going to be some really big points put up by the
Texans, Lions and Rams this week, due to matchups with generous teams like JAC,
WAS and TB. But they can’t be considered
streams since they are highly owned. I
don’t like the Bills and Colts matchups. Bills playing in DEN, no thanks. Colts playing in CLE, too many things can go wrong here, and if they
start Manziel, they could be chasing him all day long. Leave both on the bench. Instead, go with one of the following:
The Vikings just mashed CAR, and this week they get the
hapless Jets at home. That’s a great
matchup, and may have some upside. Let’s
look for 14 points with upside.
The Giants put up respectable points against the Jags, and
should be pretty pissed. With their
starting QB out for a week, the Giants should feast on the Titans for 12
points.
The Cowboys looked awful last week, but they always seem to
rebound. Chicago gives up the most DEF
points in the league, look for the Boys to take advantage and post 12 points or
more.
The Chiefs had a tough day against DEN and only scored 4
defensive points. But that’s why you
don’t start Defs against offensive juggernauts. ARI is no longer an offensive juggernaut, in fact, they are fading fast
and I don’t see them getting any better with their bell cow Ellington hurt. The Chiefs take advantage for 12 points.
Comments