Skip to main content

Streaming Defenses: Week 14

Hope you had a wonderful holiday weekend spent with family and friends. I know we're all still recovering a bit in the FFLibrarian household from a non-stop weekend. Bob is back with a post on defenses to pick up for Week 14. Enjoy!


Well the regular season is nearly done, and some of you may have to make do with the players you have now. But a lot of leagues allow waivers during the playoffs, and turn off trades. So in the spirit, here are some plays for this week.

What a Week 13 we had. The stream worked very well, particularly if you picked up the Rams at the last second. Sheesh, 31 points? Nope, I didn’t see that many but it was Oak. And did anybody see the Jaguars?  Nope, only owned by 0.5% of teams.  Here’s the wrap up.

Week 13



Top Performers

Team
Projected
Actual

Rams*
31
Dolphins
14
TBD

Jaguars
26
Giants
12
12

Seahawks
19
Rams
12
31

Bills
19
      Average
12.67
21.5

Broncos
19
      AVG all teams

10.7



      % Highly 0wned

11.8



      Rec % owned

13.8



      Bad % Owned

4




The average of all DEFs for the entire year is now 9.75. Week 13 average for all teams was 10.7, so a big week for defenses. The highly owned averaged only slightly better at 11.8, largely because of poor performances by the Chiefs, Patriots, and Packers, the same teams that were marked as sits for the week. The highly owned and recommended averaged 13.8 points, but the streamers outdid that average with 21.5, so far!!! So again, if I tell ya to sit one of the highly owned teams, take my advice and look to the streamers. This week there are a lot of matchups between highly owned and targeted teams, so fewer opportunities.  Let’s have a look. 

Player
Pts
Avg
% Owned
Opp
Comment
Seahawks
125
10.4
95%
@PHI
4th best start, could really disrupt PHI
Cardinals
148
12.3
90%
KC
Start, but temper expectations, KC doesn't give up DEF pts easily
Eagles
181
15.1
87%
SEA
Start, temper expectations, but may be some upside
Texans
143
11.9
87%
@JAC
1st best start, geez this could get ugly, lots of points
49ers
133
11.1
87%
@OAK
3rd best start, another ugly matchup, lots of points
Bills
168
14
86%
@DEN
Bad matchup, don't start the Bills
Dolphins
138
12.5
82%
BAL
Start, temper expectations, but I would start the Dolphins at home
Lions
139
11.6
81%
TB
2nd best start, another lopsided matchup, lots of points
Patriots
132
11
80%
@SD
Start, but temper expectations, SD can put some points up
Colts
127
10.6
69%
@CLE
Bad matchup, CLE is stingy giving up DEF pts
Rams
127
10.6
69%
@WAS
5th best start, Rams are hot now






Vikings
130
10.8
25%
NYJ
1st best stream, after what they did to CAR, should be a cakewalk against NYJ
Giants
87
7.2
40%
@TEN
2nd best stream, TEN is without a QB now, and the Giants should see red
Cowboys
99
8.2
20%
@CHI
3rd best stream, the Boys wake up this week against a generous CHI
Chiefs
108
9
62%
@ARI
4th best stream, KC is good enough to dismantle the ARI off

There are going to be some really big points put up by the Texans, Lions and Rams this week, due to matchups with generous teams like JAC, WAS and TB. But they can’t be considered streams since they are highly owned. I don’t like the Bills and Colts matchups. Bills playing in DEN, no thanks. Colts playing in CLE, too many things can go wrong here, and if they start Manziel, they could be chasing him all day long. Leave both on the bench. Instead, go with one of the following:

The Vikings just mashed CAR, and this week they get the hapless Jets at home. That’s a great matchup, and may have some upside. Let’s look for 14 points with upside.

The Giants put up respectable points against the Jags, and should be pretty pissed. With their starting QB out for a week, the Giants should feast on the Titans for 12 points.

The Cowboys looked awful last week, but they always seem to rebound. Chicago gives up the most DEF points in the league, look for the Boys to take advantage and post 12 points or more.

The Chiefs had a tough day against DEN and only scored 4 defensive points. But that’s why you don’t start Defs against offensive juggernauts. ARI is no longer an offensive juggernaut, in fact, they are fading fast and I don’t see them getting any better with their bell cow Ellington hurt. The Chiefs take advantage for 12 points.


Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Back on the fantasy wagon

With my library conferences behind me (for a few weeks at least), I can now concentrate on fantasy football again. If you happen to be a librarian and are interested in how my co-presenter and I tied together fantasy football and information literacy, check out my co-presenter’s blog . Though I imagine most of you would much rather catch up on the following football news and thoughts for the week: I remain a bit dazed and confused by my certainty last summer that Cedric Benson was going to rock my RB2 world in 2007. Didn’t happen and now he’s moved onto ankle surgery, alleged intoxication and resisting arrest on boats. Awesome. You can practically taste Matt Forte’s value skyrocketing here. In fact, wondering about rookie RBs in general? Well then check out FF Xtreme’s The Day After: Ranking the Rookie Running Backs . I love reading articles or stats that challenge my preconceived notions – The Fifth Down’s Chad the Completion Percentage Machine does just that. No offense to thos

Streaming Defenses - Week 16

Don't know about you all, but in our house this week is just chock full of events, visiting with family, and getting organized for our upcoming time off over the holidays. Lots of scrambling going on around here and attempts to install some sense of gratitude in my boys. What am I grateful for this season? Many things but let's start with Bob. Bob has been my fantasy football rock, coming back week after week to post. Hats off to you, Bob, and thank you for your diligent work and research. So here he is with this year's final streaming defense post.  Well it’s the last week of the Fantasy Football Playoffs in most leagues, and my last post of the season. I hope you all found these posts useful. And if I failed you, you have to murder a lot more experts before you get to me. I myself have had a terrible playoff season. I’m out of all but one of my leagues due to the weird games the last two weeks. Between weather that didn’t materialize to normally consistent players co

Start/Sit Week 4 and a smattering of rankings

It's been awhile, my fantasy football friends. I have lofty intentions of getting several posts up here each week, but life is busy and I will do my best. So in the intervening 6 years since I've posted regularly on here, our family added another child (now there are 3!), moved back to Boulder for a sabbatical year and then returned to Knoxville, and we have basically been chugging along like many of the rest of you. My two boys (who turn 12 and 9 soon) are in a fantasy football league for the first time this year with their buddies, which ostensibly is the just the dads (and mom!) playing one another of course. But my oldest is taking it super seriously and what kind of Fantasy Football Librarian would I be if I didn't step up my game for him? So I'm back - and am interested in the fantasy landscape - lots of the same awesome sites out there, but many new ones as well. I'll try to incorporate a mix. Please be sure to let me know if my 2006 ways aren't working i