Wednesday, October 07, 2015

2015 Streaming Defenses: Week 5



Bob is back with his streaming defense knowledge. Read on and get inspired to make your team a little better in Week 5! 
 
Hello fellow streamers. It was a good week for the streamers in week 4. While you can’t predict all the sleepers, we did pretty well. The top 5 owned recommended averaged 10.2, while our top 5 streamers averaged 11.4. So you see? You can outperform even the top Defenses using judicious streaming.

Below are the results of Week 4 using MFL stats and Fantasy Sharks scoring. Suggested streams are outlined in Blue. Owned and started are in Green for start, Yellow for temper expectations and Red for look elsewhere.
Rank
Team
Total
Week 4
1
ATL
43
23
2
DET
50
23
3
CAR
59
20
4
GBP
45
18
5
NYJ
57
14
6
DEN
74
13
7
WAS
38
13
8
CHI
26
12
9
OAK
29
12
10
STL
48
12
16
BAL
42
9
18
BUF
44
7
22
SEA
52
6
23
ARI
66
5
24
PHI
40
5
25
IND
26
4
27
HOU
22
3

ATL and DET led the list with a couple of pick sixes, which are basically impossible to predict. CAR and DEN came through yet again, so you have got to become a believer, but you don’t have CAR this week due to a bye. GB keeps getting better, and will be highly owned now. The Jets still have a stout Def but have had some good matchups. I love what OAK is doing on Def now and BAL is getting serious on Def. I warned you about HOU, and I think there are a lot of players out there suffering from this early round pick.

The targets changed a bit due to QBs returning. Take CHI and NO off the target list. But you still have to be targeting the following: JAC, CLE, WAS, and SF. HOU and TB are now on the ‘watch list’ due to disappointing play on the offensive side of the ball. 

Here are some links to sage streaming advice. As usual, my analysis, may or may not align with the pros.


Here are the ownership and projections for Defs this week of the ‘highly owned’ defenses. Highly owned being better than 80%.
Highly Owned Defs
Team
Opp
Proj
Owned
Comments
SEA
@CIN
8.16
100%
SEA just came off a bad outing against DET. I see more trouble with the hot Bengals. Temper Expectations.
ARI
@DET
8.58
98%
ARI will bounce back this week against the Lions, start 'em
BUF
@TEN
10.12
97%
Probably the best Def this week, start 'em.
DEN
@OAK
8.19
91%
DEN Def just keeps rolling, roll with them.
PHI
NO
7.94
89%
NO is showing some stuff, so temper expectations
STL
@GB
5.56
87%
Don't like the matchup, sit 'em
CAR
BYE
0
86%
On a bye, you will need another.
HOU
IND
7.26
82%
Thursday night game and IND is starting to warmup and HOU is just terrible. With Luck back, I wouldn't go here
GB
STL
8.4
80%
GB's def is confounding even better QBs, start 'em

So I like only four of the highly owned this week, but here are some juicy streams that could outperform. I see the streamers outperforming the highly owned again this week.
Team
Opp
Proj
Owned
Comment
ATL
WAS
6.75
5%
ATL's Def is growing every week with their new Def Coord, roll with them against one of our targets, Stream #1
NYG
SF
6.26
10%
NYG Def is tough against the run, and can catch Koep, Stream #2
TB
JAC
9.53
3%
I love this matchup, a lot of Def points both ways, but JAC is the better target. Stream #3
KC
CHI
7.7
53%
KC is at home and will be tough on CHI, Stream #4
NE
@DAL
7.16
71%
NE Def is getting better, use if you don't have any other options.

Top three are against our beloved targets. KC will prove even more effective against CHI than OAK, look for a bounce back for this Def. NE should be able to confound the passing game while allowing some yards on the ground.

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