Skip to main content

Analyzing run defenses & draft picks

Some of my favorite fantasy football analysis revolves around the components beyond the actual individual player: like schedules (how many top ranked run or pass Ds will your player be facing during the season?) and offensive line rankings (will my RB be lined up behind a power o-line?). NFL.com has posted their Schedules: New England, Buffalo have favorable run slates article today, which is certainly worth a long look. Plus, now my love for Laurence Maroney is feeling a little more validated. But poor Frank Gore, who as Fabiano notes in this article, "will have 10 starts against teams that ranked 13th or better against the run last season."

Another interesting link for the day - The Huddle's NFL Draft: Sneaky Helpful Fantasy Drafts. These are those NFL Draft moves that are subtle and are going to up the value of that team's draftable players. Read on for quality insight.

All for today; more to come later this week!
Labels:

Comments

Football Jabber said…
Good stuff! Glad to see you back with us.
10:37 PM
Tones said…
After reviewing your post, I recalled another SOS post from another site recently posted: http://www.fftoolbox.com/football/strength_of_schedule.cfm . It is pretty cool because it breaks down the schedule into the whole season, regular season, etc. I find the numbers useful in the first 4/5 weeks by then you have a sampling of data to use the current year play.

The reason why it stood out to me was it ranks the Patriots in the top 5 but not number 1. So now I am trying to figure out what the methodology is that would create the differences. What am I missing?

Also, I would be interested to know what drafting methods and tools you use VBD, VBD baseline, Positional, Ranking, etc.

Tones
9:19 AM
Tones said…
After posting this I received a message from the manager of the web site and the broke down the data over 1-5, 6-10, 11-15 weeks. While I haven’t spent a lot of time looking at the data yet, I do see some movement of teams comparing the 1-14 and the 1-5. So now I am thinking has anyone done a comparison between say the year before and actual performance over that period of time? Have you seen anything? If not, I think I might tackle it if I can find the data from prior years.

Tones
6:28 AM
Fantasy Football Librarian said…
Hi Tones! Good to hear from you and hope you've been enjoying the offseason. Off the top of my head, I can't think of anyone who has done that kind of analysis, but there's a chance it's out there somewhere. I say give it a try and see what you find.

As for the drafting methods that I use, I would say that I use basically anything I can get my hands on...and then sort of go by gut rather than anything too scientific. I don't really believe 100% in any of those individual drafting tools, so I think a combo is the best approach.

Hope that helps!
10:40 AM
Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Back on the fantasy wagon

With my library conferences behind me (for a few weeks at least), I can now concentrate on fantasy football again. If you happen to be a librarian and are interested in how my co-presenter and I tied together fantasy football and information literacy, check out my co-presenter’s blog . Though I imagine most of you would much rather catch up on the following football news and thoughts for the week: I remain a bit dazed and confused by my certainty last summer that Cedric Benson was going to rock my RB2 world in 2007. Didn’t happen and now he’s moved onto ankle surgery, alleged intoxication and resisting arrest on boats. Awesome. You can practically taste Matt Forte’s value skyrocketing here. In fact, wondering about rookie RBs in general? Well then check out FF Xtreme’s The Day After: Ranking the Rookie Running Backs . I love reading articles or stats that challenge my preconceived notions – The Fifth Down’s Chad the Completion Percentage Machine does just that. No offense to thos
8 comments
Read more

Streaming Defenses - Week 16

Don't know about you all, but in our house this week is just chock full of events, visiting with family, and getting organized for our upcoming time off over the holidays. Lots of scrambling going on around here and attempts to install some sense of gratitude in my boys. What am I grateful for this season? Many things but let's start with Bob. Bob has been my fantasy football rock, coming back week after week to post. Hats off to you, Bob, and thank you for your diligent work and research. So here he is with this year's final streaming defense post.  Well it’s the last week of the Fantasy Football Playoffs in most leagues, and my last post of the season. I hope you all found these posts useful. And if I failed you, you have to murder a lot more experts before you get to me. I myself have had a terrible playoff season. I’m out of all but one of my leagues due to the weird games the last two weeks. Between weather that didn’t materialize to normally consistent players co
20 comments
Read more

Start/Sit Week 4 and a smattering of rankings

It's been awhile, my fantasy football friends. I have lofty intentions of getting several posts up here each week, but life is busy and I will do my best. So in the intervening 6 years since I've posted regularly on here, our family added another child (now there are 3!), moved back to Boulder for a sabbatical year and then returned to Knoxville, and we have basically been chugging along like many of the rest of you. My two boys (who turn 12 and 9 soon) are in a fantasy football league for the first time this year with their buddies, which ostensibly is the just the dads (and mom!) playing one another of course. But my oldest is taking it super seriously and what kind of Fantasy Football Librarian would I be if I didn't step up my game for him? So I'm back - and am interested in the fantasy landscape - lots of the same awesome sites out there, but many new ones as well. I'll try to incorporate a mix. Please be sure to let me know if my 2006 ways aren't working i
Post a Comment
Read more