Skip to main content

Multi-year results for accuracy with TE rankings

We're rolling on with the multi-year accuracy results - for those who are new to the blog, since 2007 I've gathered and analyzed preseason rankings from fantasy football experts and noted which expert is the most accurate with their rankings. You can see the results of 2009 here, 2008 here, and 2007 here. However, I think many of you would agree that an aggregate look at which site has been the most accurate across all three years is of even greater importance. So I posted the results for multi-year accuracy with QBs and WRs last week and tonight we've got TEs. For details on how the accuracy is calculated, just scope out one of the previous year's results, and to see the details on how/why I calculated a percentile average (remember: the lower the average, the better!) for the multi-year approach, take a look at the QBs post from last week. If you'd like a list of all 54 sites included in this analysis, scope out the WR post. Ten of those 54 sites have participated all 3 years, another 13 sites for 2 years, and the remaining 31 sites for just 1 year.

As with the QBs and WRs, I'm posting the top results for sites that have participated for different lengths of time separately since it's really not fair to compare those sites to one another. Sites should only be ranked relative to other sites that have participated for the same length of time, hence why you see below that I've broken it down into the best of sites that have been involved for all 3 years, top results for those who have only been in it for 2 years, and a few mentions for accurate sites with just 1 year of participation. Clearly I don't believe they can be compared directly but for some relative sense of accuracy, take a look at the percentile averages on the right side. Again, if your average is lower than your peers, that means you have performed with greater accuracy.


Sites that have 3 years of participation:
Ranking Site Average
1 Ask The Commish 0.29
2 Yahoo! 0.31
3 FOX Sports 0.34
4 CBSSports.com 0.37
5 Rotoworld 0.38



Sites that have 2 years of participation:
Ranking Site Average
1 FFStarters 0.16
2 FFCalculator (ADP_ 0.18
3 FFToday 0.20
4 FFTrader 0.21
5 Fantazzle 0.25



Sites that have 1 year of participation:
Ranking Site Average
1 Fantasy Mojo 0.04
2 MyOfficePool 0.08
3 Fantistics 0.15

Comments

Anonymous said…
ask the commish seems to do pretty well, i wonder if that's cause he's awesome or because he looks at the popular sites(yahoo,roto, and such that do well) and augments their picks? either way he's being added to my own ADP list!
Anonymous said…
I'm curious to find out what these lists would look like if you ignored say the top 50% - 66% of starters (we all know who the usual suspects will be barring injury). Meaning a 12 team league that starts 3 WR has 36 starters...throw out the consensus preseason top 18 - 24 WR's and see how the sites ranked. Ranking the lower players drafted in the middle and lower rounds accurately wins championships... as does playing the waiver wire and trades. Having Andre Johnson as the 1st WR is better than having him ranked 3rd last year... but what really helps is the prognosticator that had Miles Austin ranked, as say the 35th WR, where other sites didn't have him ranked in their top 50 if at all. Another example would be a site that had Bernard Berrian waaay further down the list compared to their competition.

Popular posts from this blog

Labor Day FF links

Happy long weekend! Here's hoping most of you are free to enjoy the 3-day weekend and the relaxation and fun that comes with it. I spent my Sunday participating in 3 fantasy football drafts scattered throughout the day and night, but I think I've finally wrapped up my drafts for the year. So like many of you I'm now turning my attention to the Week 1 games! But before we get to some player rankings and prep for Week 1, I want to make sure that all you experts out there are aware of the upcoming deadline for the annual accuracy contest that I run with the Fantasy Sports Trade Association. I compare preseason positional rankings from experts to the final outcome of the fantasy season to see which site had the most accurate preseason rankings, and this year's deadline is fast approaching: September 9th by kickoff. Check out the info on the FSTA site for more details and be sure to e-mail me your submissions. Now, onto Week 1! First up, let's get to some of this

2010 Week 2 consensus start/sit

Greetings and happy weekend. I've got this week's consensus start/sit for you which is a tally of all the start/sit votes that players received in the various start/sit articles that I linked to earlier in the week. So while these aren't my personal recommendations, I do think knowing what the consensus is could be of help when making lineup decisions...so enjoy! Note: the players are listed in no particular order. QB Start: Michael Vick, Kyle Orton, Matt Ryan, Jason Campbell Sit: David Garrard, Alex Smith, Jay Cutler, Vince Young, Carson Palmer RB Start: LeSean McCoy, Darren McFadden, Ahmad Bradshaw, Brandon Jackson Sit: Tim Hightower, C.J. Spiller, Beanie Wells, Ronnie Brown WR Start: Santana Moss, Legedu Naanee, Malcolm Floyd, Mike Williams (TB), Dez Bryant Sit: Randy Moss, Michael Crabtree TE Start: Chris Cooley, Todd Heap, John Carlson, Jermichael Finley Sit: Jermaine Gresham, Owen Daniels, Tony Scheffler, Jeremy Shockey, Bo Scaife Kicker Start: La

Start/Sit Week 4 and a smattering of rankings

It's been awhile, my fantasy football friends. I have lofty intentions of getting several posts up here each week, but life is busy and I will do my best. So in the intervening 6 years since I've posted regularly on here, our family added another child (now there are 3!), moved back to Boulder for a sabbatical year and then returned to Knoxville, and we have basically been chugging along like many of the rest of you. My two boys (who turn 12 and 9 soon) are in a fantasy football league for the first time this year with their buddies, which ostensibly is the just the dads (and mom!) playing one another of course. But my oldest is taking it super seriously and what kind of Fantasy Football Librarian would I be if I didn't step up my game for him? So I'm back - and am interested in the fantasy landscape - lots of the same awesome sites out there, but many new ones as well. I'll try to incorporate a mix. Please be sure to let me know if my 2006 ways aren't working i