Tuesday, September 13, 2016

Streaming Defenses - Week 2

More Bob, please. He nailed the Vikings call last weekend, so read on to see who he suggests for Week 2.

Welcome back fellow streamers. Hope you were able to pickup MIN last week. What a nice stream eh? In fact, if you streamed one of the five I recommended last week you did better than 3 of the top 6 drafted Defs. For those of you wondering where I’m getting my data, I’m taking the data from MyFantasyLeague.com, and using the scoring from the Fantasy Sharks leagues. It’s a basic system but adds points for points or yards allowed. If you want to see the actual breakdown go here.

Here’s the breakdown of Week 1 results.
Week 1 Results
Top ADP

Top Streams
DEN
9

MIN
24
ARI
9

LAR
4
SEA
12

GB
9
CAR
12

NYJ
12
KC
2

PHI
13
HOU
13



Average
9.5


12.4

Just another week where Streaming Defenses can beat even the highest rated Defenses.

What are other things we learned this week:

  • Titans are a valid target. Mariota looked terrible and their Offensive Line couldn’t keep him protected.

  • Browns are a valid target. And now their great hope at QB is out for maybe 2 months, what a shock!

  • 49ers aren’t the target we thought, and the Rams aren’t as good as many others thought.

  • The Chiefs’ Defense isn’t what they were last year without Houston and Mauga.

  • Vikings, 49ers, Packers, Ravens, and Jets defenses looked good although the Vikings played a prime target.
  • First time QBs did pretty well: Trevor Siemian, Dak Prescott, Carson Wentz so targeting them may be folly. The Tyrod Taylor bandwagon may have lost a wheel and the Bills may have just emerged as a new target, they did not look good. Substitute QBs such as Case Keenum and Shaun Hill aren’t good and could be targets if the teams don’t go to their prized acquisitions.

  •  IND and NO can’t protect their QBs and their defenses are unstartable, even with good matchups. They can be targets against better defenses, but DET and OAK didn’t take advantage.

So what do we have this week? First of all, we resort back to our widely-owned teams for analysis, where a team owned over 80% is considered widely owned, and don’t qualify as a streaming defense. This week we have 9 widely owned teams.
Week 2 Widely Owned
Team
Opp
Proj Pts
Owned
Analysis
CAR
SF
15
100%
Great matchup for the tough defense, start with confidence
DEN
IND
15
100%
Another great matchup, start with confidence
SEA
@LAR
15
100%
And yet another great matchup, top 3 defenses are facing top targets, start with confidence
ARI
TB
9
99%
Not as good a matchup as the other top three but a decent start, temper expectations
HOU
KC
9
96%
I like HOU this week against KC. The Texans did really well against the Bears and I expect about the same this week at home against KC.
KC
@HOU
3
94%
Nope, I don't like the KC defense this week, and not until some injured Def players return, this is a trap
LAR
SEA
3
93%
Rams have floated down to mediocre after watching them give a meager team big yards on the ground.
NE
MIA
7
89%
NE showed great heart against ARI, a high powered offense. Maybe there's more to NE than what meets the eye. This is a start but temper expectations.
MIN
GB
8
86%
This is a tossup, after the Jags gave them a run for their money, but the Vikings are a better defense. Start but temper expectations.





Week 2 Best Streaming Defenses
NYJ
@BUF
12
37%
The Bills look to be a big target and the Jets had the most sacks last week. Start them as a #1 stream while you can get them.
BAL
@CLE
14
8%
Only owned in 8% leagues, held Bills to one touchdown and now meet the number one target. #2 best stream this week.
NYG
NO
9
10%
NO is now a target in spite of their scoring prowess, the Giants have improved a lot as evidenced by holding Zeke to low numbers. #3 start
GB
@MIN
9

52%
The GB offense didn't look stellar against the Jags, but their defense was good. Now they go against a bad QB in either case. #4 start of the week

I don’t expect the streams to outperform the top 5 widely owned Defs because the top five all have great matchups and 4 of them play at home. But my 4 top streams will outperform the rest of the widely owned, except possibly MIN.

There you have it. Make a waiver and make a difference.

1 comment:

Unknown said...

OMG! Welcome back to the both of you!