Skip to main content

Get your kicks here

Time to look at kicker options this week, friends. Bob is back with advice if you're in a bye week pickle or just want to upgrade your kicker from mediocre to well-researched and promising.

Hello again, it’s time for some more wisdom on Placekickers, or as I like to call them, Pointsgetters. Yep, a lot of people forget how important the PK can be. Gostkowski has a total of 129 points so far this season. In terms of other positions, that would place him as the 12th highest points for a RB. He would be the 15th highest WR, the 5th best TE, and the #1 DEF!! So where’s the respect for Mr. Last Picked in the Draft?

To be honest, the position doesn’t get a lot of attention due to the small differential between kickers. Most just think, I can put anyone in there and expect 6 points a game. But many will draft the better kickers earlier in the draft, so there’s some respect there. But I digress.

Last week results…

Phil Dawson
Mike Nugent
Cairo Santos
Billy Cundiff
   Average of top 8 starts
   Average of all PKs
Average of all PKs less top 8 starts

The top 8 starts of top 12 owned turned in a good week, averaging 11.2. Our recommendations averaged 8.25, with the overall average of 8.12. So we beat the average. However, if you take out the top 8 starts of highly owned PKs, the average of the leftovers was only 6.7. So we did above average on two and just less than average on the other two. A moderately successful week for those of you without the top 8 starters.

Last week I included a list of factors that could be used to help determine a kicker’s performance on a weekly basis. One important factor I left out was the effect of indoor or dome stadiums. Many believe that kicking in a dome as your home field will help you with points over the season. And I’m sure there is an effect; just ask kickers where they would prefer to kick, you know the answer. But just how much of a factor a dome is becomes a bit more muddled. Here are the 8 teams that have indoor, retractable, or domed stadiums: DAL, NO, ATL, HOU, STL, DET, ARI, and IND. 

Notice there are only 2 in the AFC and both in the South Div, which means that  HOU and IND will play 10 of their 16 games inside. The NFC kickers not in a dome have a 6-in-15 chance of playing indoors. The indoor NFC kickers will have 8 plus a 6-and-16 chance of playing inside. I only mention these facts to illustrate that indoor kickers have to kick outside sometimes, and they may not be as acclimated to outdoor factors as the seasoned outdoor kicker.

On a side note, MIN used to be in a dome, but will play outdoors for this and next season before they move into their new dome. Now onto to my favorite part…the numbers.

Gostkowski, Stephen NEP PK

Tucker, Justin BAL PK

Bailey, Dan DAL PK
Vinatieri, Adam IND PK
Parkey, Cody PHI PK

Bullock, Randy HOU PK
Gano, Graham CAR PK

Catanzaro, Chandler ARI PK
Graham, Shayne NOS PK
Bryant, Matt ATL PK
Zuerlein, Greg STL PK
Prater, Matt DET PK

Four of the top 8 points leaders this year have indoor home stadiums. But to temper that, consider the teams they play for; DAL, IND, HOU, ARI. That’s a combined 23 wins and 12 losses, pretty good teams.

But then, the other four languish far behind. Prater is an outlier due to starting midseason, his average is 22nd. So nothing here suggests that indoor stadiums are a big advantage. However, overall average points for indoor kickers is 9.6 compared to 9.1 outdoor kickers. That’s a half point edge and that’s about what I think the advantage is. I don’t think it compares to how good the kicker is, or which team they play for, or which team they are opposing, be it a low or high offensive opponent. But I do think it’s a factor, and one I would use when breaking a tie. If I had equal opportunity for Bailey and Gano on a given week when both teams were home, then I would pick Bailey, because he would be kicking out of the elements. 

There is one more factor people might take into account, but I’ll tease you with next week for that one. Oh and don’t forget the x factor of weather…

On to this week’s gifts.

For teams owned by over 70% of owners, you only have 3 locks: Bailey, Tucker, Suisham. You start Hauschka and Parkey, because they are good kickers in a tough matchup, but temper expectations. Some will have Walsh at 59% owned and will need a replacement. So that means there are 4 PKs that will need replacement. The best to use as replacements this week under 60% owned are: 
  • Shawn Suisham, a reliable kicker going against the Jets. Jets will slow the ground game, PIT will be in the red zone often, and give Suisham lots of opportunities for FGs. 
  • Mason Crosby, an iffy kicker at times, but CHI is giving up the most PK points in the league.  You start him confidently.
  • Chandler Catanzaro, often overlooked playing in the west, but averaging over 10 points a game. Should be owned by more teams. They are going against STL which is a new target giving up the 10th most points to kickers. Oh, and they’re indoors…
  • Billy Cundiff is back again, so you may not have to waiver a new one. This will be a slugfest with a lot of drives ending in the red zone, so there will be opportunities.

Finally, for a flyer, I like Dan Carpenter to get his opportunities against a game Bills team that will stall in the red zone against a good KC defense.

There you have it, if you don’t have one of the highly owned every week start kickers, look to PIT, GB, ARI, and CLE for nice replacements. And if you can’t get them, feel confident to start the kicker from BUF as a flyer.


Popular posts from this blog

Labor Day FF links

Happy long weekend! Here's hoping most of you are free to enjoy the 3-day weekend and the relaxation and fun that comes with it. I spent my Sunday participating in 3 fantasy football drafts scattered throughout the day and night, but I think I've finally wrapped up my drafts for the year. So like many of you I'm now turning my attention to the Week 1 games! But before we get to some player rankings and prep for Week 1, I want to make sure that all you experts out there are aware of the upcoming deadline for the annual accuracy contest that I run with the Fantasy Sports Trade Association. I compare preseason positional rankings from experts to the final outcome of the fantasy season to see which site had the most accurate preseason rankings, and this year's deadline is fast approaching: September 9th by kickoff. Check out the info on the FSTA site for more details and be sure to e-mail me your submissions. Now, onto Week 1! First up, let's get to some of this

2010 Week 2 consensus start/sit

Greetings and happy weekend. I've got this week's consensus start/sit for you which is a tally of all the start/sit votes that players received in the various start/sit articles that I linked to earlier in the week. So while these aren't my personal recommendations, I do think knowing what the consensus is could be of help when making lineup enjoy! Note: the players are listed in no particular order. QB Start: Michael Vick, Kyle Orton, Matt Ryan, Jason Campbell Sit: David Garrard, Alex Smith, Jay Cutler, Vince Young, Carson Palmer RB Start: LeSean McCoy, Darren McFadden, Ahmad Bradshaw, Brandon Jackson Sit: Tim Hightower, C.J. Spiller, Beanie Wells, Ronnie Brown WR Start: Santana Moss, Legedu Naanee, Malcolm Floyd, Mike Williams (TB), Dez Bryant Sit: Randy Moss, Michael Crabtree TE Start: Chris Cooley, Todd Heap, John Carlson, Jermichael Finley Sit: Jermaine Gresham, Owen Daniels, Tony Scheffler, Jeremy Shockey, Bo Scaife Kicker Start: La

Start/Sit Week 4 and a smattering of rankings

It's been awhile, my fantasy football friends. I have lofty intentions of getting several posts up here each week, but life is busy and I will do my best. So in the intervening 6 years since I've posted regularly on here, our family added another child (now there are 3!), moved back to Boulder for a sabbatical year and then returned to Knoxville, and we have basically been chugging along like many of the rest of you. My two boys (who turn 12 and 9 soon) are in a fantasy football league for the first time this year with their buddies, which ostensibly is the just the dads (and mom!) playing one another of course. But my oldest is taking it super seriously and what kind of Fantasy Football Librarian would I be if I didn't step up my game for him? So I'm back - and am interested in the fantasy landscape - lots of the same awesome sites out there, but many new ones as well. I'll try to incorporate a mix. Please be sure to let me know if my 2006 ways aren't working i