Saturday, December 12, 2009

Week 14 consensus start/sit

Gotta be quick, so I've just got your consensus start/sit today, no links. Remember the consensus is drawn from all the different start/sit articles that I link to during the week - I've pulled out the guys with the most votes, listed in no particular order.

QB
Start: Donovan McNabb, Joe Flacco, Tony Romo, Matt Schaub
Sit: Eli Manning, Jay Cutler, Matt Cassel

RB
Start: Quinton Ganther, Jamaal Charles, Thomas Jones, Fred Jackson
Sit: Brandon Jacobs, Kevin Smith, Matt Forte, Cedric Benson

WR 
Start: Terrell Owens, Derrick Mason, Robert Meachem, Roddy White, Davone Bess
Sit: T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Antonio Bryant, Chris Chambers, Devin Hester, Bernard Berrian

TE
Start: Kevin Boss, Jermichael Finley, Brent Celek
Sit: Kellen Winslow, Greg Olsen, Fred Davis

D/ST
Start: Titans, Bills, Jets
Sit: no consensus

Kicker
Start: Billy Cundiff, Jay Feely, Josh Scobee
Sit: Robbie Gould

5 comments:

Anonymous said...

Who would you start at 2nd RB and Flex? Standard scoring, but 2 pts per 10 over 100 yds

M Barber, P Thomas, Q Ganther, T Hightower or Maroney

Flex - All of the above plus Garrard and Hassleback

Thanks to all that answer

Todd said...

Thx for putting this together Ms. Librarian!

Question: Has anyone ever gone back and rated how the consensus sit/starts have done? In other words, how many of the consensus sits were actually correct, incorrect, or maybe somewhere in between - same thing for the starts.

If I had to guess, I'd say they didn't have a fantastic record, but since you've been doing this for the past few years, we should have solid data at this point.

Anonymous said...

AHHH! FFL you are my hero. Your consensus Start/Sit confirmed my thoughts. I have Kevin Smith and Quinton Gaither. I wasn't sure who to start. Was planning on starting QG, but was nervous about starting a virtual unknown, but the Baltimore D scares me with a nicked up Smith.

Needing a Victory in Arlington

Fantasy Football Librarian said...

Hi Anon - I'd go with Thomas as your RB2...flex I think you have to go with a QB. Do they get that 2 pts per 10 over 100 yards for their passing yards? If so, I think you've gotta go QB and I'd lean towards Hasselbeck.

Todd - I have thought about this a lot, how "right" is the consensus each week? But I have had a hard time determining what could be concerned a successful start. A certain number of fantasy points? Ultimately I'd love to look at this but just haven't really wrapped my mind around the best way to do the analysis.

Needing a Victory in Arlington - always glad to help. Good luck with Ganther!

Todd said...

Oh, I'd say some simple mean/median/range figures should suffice. I could do the analysis, no problem - I work as a data analyst & statistician. The hard part for me would be the data collection, tying historical numbers for the appropriate player/week, all in a "computer-ready" format, like in a spreadsheet or something where each row represented a player, week, whether it was a sit or a start, and the stats for that player in that week.

Fortunately, I notice you've tagged them over the past couple years, so it would be easy to isolate those posts. But it seems like a mostly manual effort to put the data together into a usable format.