Tuesday, July 07, 2009

Rankings, draft kits, contests: it's all here, baby!

Greetings! A quick update on the FFL league: all of spots have been taken in the monster FFLibrarian League and I'll be e-mailing out the last couple of invites in the next hour or so. Many of you who are playing have asked about rules and the draft set up - I'll be e-mailing all of the franchises with more details in the next few days so just stay tuned.

So let's get to today's links...

2 comments:

Matt Calvey said...

I have a hard time falling in love with Jennings, as good as he is. Touchdowns are woefully inconsistent for wide receivers, and Jennings seems to derive more value from them than any of the other "elite" receivers. Jennings has a very high TD/reception rate. If he can continue that, he is an historic receiver, but if he regresses to the mean, he is little better than a WR2/3...

Matt Calvey said...

I don't want to pile on here, and I agree with the good doctor on the risk surrounding Turner, but I think all the talk of the "Curse of 370" misses a large point. Crappy running backs don't get to pile up 370+ carries in a season. No coach this side of Herm Edwards would give 25 carries a game to a guy averaging 3 yards a carry. So you have two issues that combine to kill the value of RB's with over 370 carries; 1) a general decline in performance due to injury or wear and tear, and 2) a regression to something approximating their career mean. Michael Turner is a good running back, but I don't know if he is as good as he was last year.
I ranted and raved last week about how he was a poor choice in PPR leagues assuming he keeps the same stats from last year, but what if his YPC declines by half a yard? What happens to his value if he not only averages half a yard less a carry, but loses 75 carries to Jerious Norwood? As said, I like Michael Turner, but not as a safe 1st round pick.