Greetings! A quick update on the FFL league: all of spots have been taken in the monster FFLibrarian League and I'll be e-mailing out the last couple of invites in the next hour or so. Many of you who are playing have asked about rules and the draft set up - I'll be e-mailing all of the franchises with more details in the next few days so just stay tuned.
So let's get to today's links...
- Get your paws on Bruno Boys' 2009 Draft Webazine and check out their new and improved site. One thing there that might catch your eye? A contest to win a $200 Southwest gift card for a trip to Vegas. Who doesn't love a good contest?
- Football Outsiders continues with their Wisdom of the Crowds: Projecting RBs, Part III - their final feature on RBs. This one includes Derrick Ward, Ryan Grant, and Joseph Addai among others.
- Dr. U Fantasy Football Guru keeps churning out player profiles - see some of the latest liek Matt Ryan and Michael Crabtree.
- Rotoworld has updated their draft mag and the QB rankings barely moved - to see what changed, check out Pancake Blocks.
- Reasons to love Greg Jennings in ProFootballWeekly.com's Jennings worth his weight in fantasy gold.
- Take a look at Ask the Commish's rankings - by position or the top 150 overall - they'll be updated throughout the season (last update on 7/5 as of this posting).
- I kind of love liking a guy that's a risky 1st round pick - FootballDocs' Effect of Running Back Carries on Future Production reviews what we all know about RBs with high carries. And yet I still believe in Turner the Burner. The FootballDocs site has been revamped, by the way, and it looks great.
- Oooh, IDP analysis! For top 10 rankings on inside linebackers (or outside linebackers, tackles, or defensive ends) look no further than CBSSports.com. Love it.
2 comments:
I have a hard time falling in love with Jennings, as good as he is. Touchdowns are woefully inconsistent for wide receivers, and Jennings seems to derive more value from them than any of the other "elite" receivers. Jennings has a very high TD/reception rate. If he can continue that, he is an historic receiver, but if he regresses to the mean, he is little better than a WR2/3...
I don't want to pile on here, and I agree with the good doctor on the risk surrounding Turner, but I think all the talk of the "Curse of 370" misses a large point. Crappy running backs don't get to pile up 370+ carries in a season. No coach this side of Herm Edwards would give 25 carries a game to a guy averaging 3 yards a carry. So you have two issues that combine to kill the value of RB's with over 370 carries; 1) a general decline in performance due to injury or wear and tear, and 2) a regression to something approximating their career mean. Michael Turner is a good running back, but I don't know if he is as good as he was last year.
I ranted and raved last week about how he was a poor choice in PPR leagues assuming he keeps the same stats from last year, but what if his YPC declines by half a yard? What happens to his value if he not only averages half a yard less a carry, but loses 75 carries to Jerious Norwood? As said, I like Michael Turner, but not as a safe 1st round pick.
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