Monday, August 24, 2009

Triple plays, drafts, and updated spreadsheets

Good morning, fantasy footballers. Well I've bragged about him before and I'll brag about him again now: Eric Bruntlett of the Phillies, my sister's friend's husband (yes, I'm diverging from football for a brief moment except not entirely since I've chatted Eric up about fantasy football). Bruntlett's unassisted triple play yesterday to end the Phillies v Mets game was just the 15th unassisted triple play in league history - I can only imagine how great he felt waking up this morning. Awesome, nice work Eric!

Also, this morning marks the start of the FFLibrarian monster league. Good times, there's already a good level of chaos with mis-drafts and absentee owners. You can follow along with the draft going on in each of the 6 conferences here.

My next update is on the Average Ranking Position spreadsheet that I pulled together last week. I've updated it, not with new sites (not yet!), but with rankings within position - and I also ran the standard deviation for each player's rankings to determine how much of a consensus there is on that player across all the experts. So the lower the standard deviation, the more consensus on the ranking for that player. I then added the standard deviation number to the average ranking position to get a better picture of these rankings - this tells me both a player's ranking and the level of agreement on that ranking, which changes the list I posted earlier ever so slightly. I'll be writing a bit more about this in my weekly column for the Bruno Boys in case you're interested in which players this affects the most. If you'd like a new copy of the spreadsheet, check it out on google docs, scribd, or e-mail me.

Finally, time for links...

  • Hatty Waiver Wire Guru attempts to make a team out of late round picks - this is the kind of stuff that could be really valuable for those in deep leagues or who maybe aren't thrilled with the way the first half of their draft went.
  • Meanwhile if you've got IDPs on your mind, you might be thinking of the vaunted Steelers defense. So take a look at FantasyPros911 for Fantasy Football's IDP Impact: Steelers Linebackers.
  • I'm seeing a fair amount of sleepers/busts articles out there today. First up, CBS Sports has Sleepers, Breakouts, and Busts. I was in a bar watching the Redskins v Steelers game side-by-side with the Giants v Bears game this weekend. It was impressive watching the beastly Clinton Portis next to the beastly Brandon Jacobs. Both are indeed injury risks though, so I am all over the Ahmad Bradshaw train - not just for injury reasons, but because the Giants will inevitably need to rest Jacobs every once in awhile.
  • The FantasySharks have some NFC West Sleepers and Busts up - Glen Coffee is creeping up my late round grabs list, especially after his great performance this weekend.
  • Advanced NFL Stats continues their koko rankings (the simplest projections out there, which are based on last year's performances only) with RBs.
  • Ultimate Fantasy Football Strategy has done some research on which running backs are breakout candidates for the 2009 season - they take a look at 2nd year through 5th year players.
  • Super sleeper wide receivers from FFToolbox including guys like Marty Booker, Pierre Garcon, and James Jones.
  • And we'll cap off this Monday post with a link to today's MMQB - No lack of drama as season nears.


Les Savy Ferd said...

regarding ultimate fantasy football strategy's Breakout RB list, man I hope he is correct.

I drafted a team over the weekend that starts 3WRs so I went with wideouts early and often but ended up landing Mcfadden, Rice, Benson, and Charles later on.

Could be gold, could be a whole lot of nothing.

anyhow, great links!

quba said...

I recently came accross your blog and have been reading along. I thought I would leave my first comment. I dont know what to say except that I have enjoyed reading. Nice blog. I will keep visiting this blog very often.


dave herman said...

I've been reading your blog since June and it's great. Welcome to NYC!
Your spreadsheet that aggregates ADP is an amazing tool. Any chance you'll do the same for PPR league ADP? Is there another site that does that? Thanks and keep up the good work.

dave herman said...

or avg rank position, as this one is, for ppr leagues?